Let’s guess the trend of IT Tech in the next decade. Part.1


I supposed to write this blog post by the end of the last year, but it was delayed.

These words are just IMHO. And you’ve already been familiar with these words.


About 10 years ago, XML is considered to be one of top 10 technologies that most programmers should master. Today XML is still the most important basis for cross-platform/language/system/blahblah message exchange/interpret. Meanwhile, JSON is becoming more and more popular in Web age for its lightweight. But in enterprise domain and business critical scenarios, XML related technologies provide these feature: flexible (better than JSON), open, robust (better than JSON) and compressible. (one important example: Office Open XML format .aka. ECMA-376, it’s continue evolving along with Microsoft Office products in these years)


I’m not talking about cloud. I’m talking about desktop parallel computing. With more and more multiple core CPUs are filling the market, the old programming style will be changed a bit.

The change will involve new compiler, new library (OpenMP for C/C++, .NET FX 4, etc), new language (someone may mention Erlang), and the most important, new programming model or thinking.


Managed languages like C# and Java will eat more market share from traditional ones. In the next ten years, we may see Native IL support CPU or its work-like-a-product prototype say hi to the world.

Script languages will get benefits from technologies like DLR from .NET. We have seen JPython/IronPython, JRuby/IronRuby, Groovy/PowerShell (well, this pair are not so suitable to compare), and we’ll see more.


Netbook? UMPC? PDA Phone? We’ll enjoy a mobile life. From the next generation mobile, we may get more affordable next generation mobile data fee(beyond 3G, LTE), much fast dl/up speed, better signal coverage.

Designers and manufacturers will produce more powerful mobile device, and the meaning of “mobile” will be extended to many devices. More scenes in SF novel/movie will come true.

At the same time, IT system will be more friendly to mobile device. For example, better support for small screen, one hand operation, reader mode, etc.


I’m talking about OS. We’ll have more choice when choosing OS, Windows, Linux, Mac, BSD…. but they will talk to each other much more smoothly. With Microsoft’s open promise on interoperability, other OS and products can talk to one of the biggest market share holders’ products. People can see their different desktop/server can talk to each other more happily than before.

It’s a bit late (1:26AM, GMT+8), Ill try to finish the list in recent days and post it as Part.2